Public Market Intelligence stays free. The accuracy figure below is the scoring layer that feeds a farm’s Priority List — not a promise that you will personally list eight of ten conversations.

80%
Current 12-month success rate
Share of Tier-1 scores (86–99) that become an MLS listing within 12 months.
7+
Years of Colorado market data
The model is trained and refined on Colorado dynamics since 2017 — not a national generic score.
19.8%
Peak share of listings identified
In tight-inventory months the model flagged nearly 1 in 5 properties that later listed.

Evolution of predictive success rate (2017–present)

Rolling 12-month window. Seasonal noise is smoothed on purpose so the line is a trend, not a single month.

Phases of model evolution

HomeValue (HOMENDO) Era

Development

2017 – May 2020

Avg. scored owners / day: 1.8 Data inputs : 86 Monthly market signals : 35 Owner profiles : 1
Covid Crisis

Jun 2020 – Jun 2022

Avg. scored owners / day: 14.3 Data inputs : 127 Monthly market signals : 41 Owner profiles : 1
Growing

Jul 2022 – Jun 2024

Avg. scored owners / day: 28 Data inputs : 369 Monthly market signals : 207 Owner profiles : 3

TimeToSell.AI Era

TimeToSell.AI

Jul 2024 – Present

Avg. scored owners / day: 67.9 Data inputs : 759 Daily market signals : 3,631 Owner profiles : 36

The metric: accuracy at scale

A single month is a snapshot. TimeToSell publishes a rolling 12-month success rate so seasonal swings do not look like a new model. Tier-1 means score 86–99. Success means that owner’s property listed on the Colorado MLS within twelve months.

That score is what ranks a farm’s Priority List. It is not a shared inbox of “hot leads.” One active agent holds a released community. The same scoring layer also powers public daily Market Intelligence for agents who have not claimed a seat yet.

As the phase cards show, accuracy held while volume increased. That is the proof point for broker owners who want a listing-advantage layer beside the office CRM — not another lead portal.

A model forged by Colorado markets

The HomeValue years built the baseline. The COVID window is visible as a dip: behavior broke every pre-2020 pattern. The Growing years recovered. The TimeToSell.AI era added daily signals and a full set of seller and owner profiles.

Looking toward 2027, the same engine is what agents use when insurance, rate, and equity pressure replace “call everyone on a purchased list.” How to work those profiles is in the 2027 Playbook. How a seat works is on How it works.

An agent’s guide to this number

No. Eighty percent means 8 of those 10 properties are statistically expected to list on the MLS within 12 months. It validates the opportunity. Conversion is still the agent’s work — conversation, timing, and advice. TimeToSell ranks who to work first inside a community you own. It does not replace the listing appointment.

The weights stay proprietary. The test does not: years of back-tests against Colorado MLS outcomes, published here as a rolling rate. Each ranked owner also carries a profile and narrative so you can accept or reject the “why” with local knowledge. That is a starting brief, not a black box mandate.

Portal inquiries and expireds are reactive — the seller already raised a hand, and you race other agents. A Territory Farm is one active seat per released community. TimeToSell scores owners who have not listed yet and ranks them on your Priority List. You also get email and in-app notifications when listing-stress or profile conditions change in that neighborhood. Your CRM stays the system of record.

Exclusivity is at the community / Territory Farm level, not a shared ZIP lead pool. One active agent holds a released farm while the seat is On. When a seat lapses it returns to Open Slots. That protects the Priority List you are working. It is not a promise that nobody else in the metro can farm a different community.

Both. A solo agent uses a farm to stop spraying the same purchased list. A team or brokerage assigns seats so high-intent corridors are covered without colliding. TimeToSell is a Colorado listing-advantage layer. It does not replace the office CRM, transaction desk, or franchise tools.

Ready to put the score to work?

Claim an exclusive Territory Farm. Use code COLORADO-100 on intro seats when eligible. Market Intelligence stays free.

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